The US officials claim to have evidence about how Syrian goverment has launced an attack against its population outside the Damascus. It is planned that the evidence could be released after a few days. Taking into account recent US expierience in Iraq war, the evidence has to be very trustworthy. It seems everybody still remembers that Iraq war was started based on wrong claims of weapons of mass destruction.
How long would military action take ?
Syria Crisis began in March 2011 some month after Arab Spring changed regimes in several other countries. Since than the World has been witness of Syrian Civil War, but now the red line has been crossed. It is said - Syria has used Chemical Weapons against its own citizens. US is preparing to use all means necessary for stopping the Government of Syria.
Its is hard to believe US would risk to take boots on the ground. However, preemptive attack from cruise-missile-armed destroyers in the Mediterranean Sea is the most likely Option. How long will it take ? In Kosovo bombings continued for 10 month. Syrian War might take much longer.
What do experts say ?
Three countries - Britain, France and Turkey have already showed interest in participating in military action. Although the US could easily win the battle on their own, winning the military battle is just a half step. Expierience in Afghanistan and Iraq shows that post-war reconstruction takes way much longer than expected and is much more expensive than planned. In this context, the US cannot allow itself to take military action on its own.
On the other hand, it is 100% clear that United Nations Security Council will not be ready to agree on any military intervention. Russia sees Syria as its second buffer zone and has warn against any military resolution of the conflict. Furthermore, Iran is well aware about the fact, that if Syria falls it is only question of time, when Allied forces would intervene in Iran as well.
The Role of The U.N. inspection
Currently the U.N. experts are unable to prove that chemical attacks have been implemented by the Assad regime. One, the most important question that also has not been answered is - Why would Syrian Government launch a chemical attack against the oppositon, if it is well aware that such actions could cross the red line established by international community. Before any certain evidence have been found there role and responsibility of U.N. experts becomes even greater.
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